Causal AI for process manufacturing

Know why your plant fails. Not just when.

Predictive maintenance flags symptoms or forecasts failure. Kausalyze builds a causal model of your process to trace the problem to its upstream driver, show the evidence and identify what to change.

The problem

Billions spent on AI.

Downtime costs keep rising.

Process manufacturers have invested heavily in data infrastructure and predictive tools. Those tools have become better at flagging problems, but an alert still does not tell you what caused the problem or what to change. Engineers must make that connection while experienced colleagues retire and recurring failures keep costing the plant money.

11%
of revenue lost to unplanned downtimeacross the Fortune Global 500. Up from 8% in 2019.
+62%
rise in the cost of downtime since 2019even as incident frequency has fallen.
~$129M
estimated annual downtime lossfor a single large process facility

Sources: Siemens, The True Cost of Downtime 2024. Rockwell, State of Smart Manufacturing 2026. Per-facility figure is a benchmark-derived estimate for modelling and varies by site.

Where the money goes

Every day without the cause costs money

A process upset does not pause while the team investigates. Finding the true root cause of a recurring problem takes days or weeks. Lost yield, off-spec product, excess energy and avoidable maintenance add up the whole time.

An alert does not tell you what to change

A warning helps you plan a response. Resolving a recurring problem also requires the upstream cause, evidence your engineers can inspect and a specific change with an expected impact.

What engineers can do

One causal model. Better operating decisions.

Assess process health, find root causes, forecast time to a limit, test interventions and prescribe changes, all using the same causal model.

01

Process Health

Assess equipment condition and process stability across the connected unit. See a change in the context of the upstream variables driving it.

Indicated value
35 to 45%
less downtime for plants on condition-based maintenance programmes. Maintenance cost down 25 to 30%.
US DOE, O&M Best Practices Guide
02

Causal Root Cause

Trace a recurring failure or quality problem to its upstream drivers. Inspect the causal path and supporting evidence with your engineers.

Indicated value
$1B+ / yr
lost to preheat-train fouling in US refining alone. One unit can lose millions a year.
Heat Transfer Engineering 2024; Müller-Steinhagen
03

Failure Forecasting

Estimate when a condition is likely to cross a limit, with confidence levels and supporting evidence, so your team can plan an intervention.

Indicated value
$500k to $2M
per hour of unplanned downtime in heavy process industry. An unplanned outage costs around 50% more than the same work planned.
Siemens, True Cost of Downtime 2024; industry estimate
04

Test and prescribe changes

Test a set-point change in the model before touching the plant. Compare interventions and quantify the expected effect on production, energy or maintenance.

Indicated value
+10% output
and 25% less high-pressure steam at a polyurethane plant, from set-point changes alone. No capex.
McKinsey, Digital in chemicals

Indicated values are published industry figures, not Kausalyze performance claims. Site-level value is established in the pilot, against the plant's own records.

The Product

From process health to a prescribed change

Causal graph · amine CO2 capture unit 8 variables · lag in hours
R_REB_DUTY · Reboiler steam duty, MW In band
Operating band Limit 14.0 MW 14.0 13.0 12.0 11.0 MW −2 h −1 h now
Step 1 of 5

Monitor

Assess each variable alongside its upstream drivers to identify changes in process health across connected equipment.

Step 2 of 5

Diagnose

Trace a fault back through the causal relationships to the upstream driver, with evidence your engineers can review.

Root cause: A_LEAN_FLOW
Step 3 of 5

Forecast

Estimate the time to a process limit and review the forecast evidence to plan when to intervene.

Step 4 of 5

What if

Test the change before you touch the plant. Compare a proposed set-point change with leaving conditions unchanged, and inspect the predicted downstream effects.

try A_LEAN_FLOW −2.1%
Step 5 of 5

Optimise

Review the prescribed change and its expected impact on the unit. Quantify the value before deciding whether to implement it through your existing operating procedures.

set A_LEAN_FLOW −2.1%
Why it's different

Autonomous manufacturing needs a causal backbone.

Predictive tools flag anomalies. AI co-pilots search historical events. Kausalyze identifies the root cause, shows the evidence, and helps optimise the process, transforming data into decisions and saving real money.

Constrained by physics, validated by engineers, and supported by evidence, Kausalyze provides the causal foundation for autonomous manufacturing.

Capability Predictive maintenance AI co-pilots Kausalyze
Finds the upstream cause Not just the symptom Usually asset-level
Models cause across the process Equipment, units and shared utilities Typically asset-by-asset
Shows the evidence behind the answer Depends on source retrieval Causal path and evidence per link
Constrained by process physics Varies by tool No process model by itself Physics and process connectivity
Engineers validate causal links Review alerts and forecasts Review generated answers Confirm or reject important links
Tests what happens if you make a change
Prescribes what to change Usually maintenance action Can suggest options With expected downstream impact
Starts with existing historical data First validated root causes in 12 to 16 weeks Requirements vary Requirements vary
Core capability Partial or implementation-dependent Not provided by the capability alone

Capabilities vary by product and implementation. The comparison describes typical uses.

Industrial proof

Validated on real plant data, with the engineers who run it.

Kausalyze is working with Huntsman Polyurethanes' Global Excellence Team on heat-exchanger fouling, building causal models of how operating conditions actually drive fouling and degradation, and validating them jointly with Huntsman's engineers.

Huntsman
Read about the collaboration
Kausalyze gives us deeper insight into asset behaviour than conventional predictive maintenance tools.
Process Improvement Global Excellence Team, Huntsman Polyurethanes on the collaboration.
The pilot

One unit. One recurring problem. 12 to 16 weeks.

Scope the problem, validate the cause with engineers and quantify the value of a prescribed change. For the pilot: no new sensors, no new control software and no live-system integration required.

Phase 1

Scope the unit and problem

Choose one unit and a recurring, costly failure, quality problem or process instability. Agree the scope and data handoff.

You getAgreed scope and a data quality check
Phase 2

Build the causal model

Build a model of the unit from historical plant data and process information.

You getA causal map of the unit with evidence per link
Phase 3

Validate root causes with engineers

Review the important relationships and root-cause findings with your process engineers.

You getRanked, validated root causes for the target problem
Phase 4

Prescribe changes and quantify value

Identify interventions, estimate their impact and build the case for whether and where to expand next.

You getPrescribed changes and quantified expected value
Calculator

Downtime is a dollar problem

Enter your annual downtime exposure per site, the share you believe is avoidable once the causes are known, and the number of sites in scope.

$20M$300M
10%50%
125
Illustrative gross annual value
$38.7M
Exposure × avoidable share × facilities
Illustrative only, not a performance guarantee. Before software and implementation costs. Default exposure is a benchmark-derived estimate for a single large process facility (Siemens, True Cost of Downtime 2024).

See what's really driving your downtime.

Bring one recurring plant problem. Review the unit, available data and potential value with our engineers, and define the scope for a pilot.

Book a technical review